Trump is haunted by the courts and Biden by cognitive problems. Who will deal with their difficulties more effectively?

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In the first 24 hours after the court verdict in the Stormy Daniels case was announced, Trump’s campaign raised a record $53 million. Moreover, 30% of donors donated money to Trump for the first time, and in search engines the query “donate to Trump” became even more popular than it was before the 2020 election. By comparison, for example, for the whole month of April, Trump raised $76 million in donations, while Biden only raised $51 million. But more importantly, the first polls after the trial showed that 34% of Americans have not changed their opinion of Trump, 22% treat him better, and only 16% worse.

Many Americans sympathize with Trump and resent the politicized justice. Even in New York City, Trump’s ratings are approaching Biden’s and for the city, the consequences of Trump’s judicial wars will be rather negative. The local prosecutor’s office is already being accused of dodging real crime and releasing gangbangers without bail. And “enemies of the state” in the person of Trump are being tried to intimidate and run over. The good news for Trump after the seemingly guilty verdict is that he no longer has to spend all his time in court and has resumed traveling the country campaigning. Many short-sighted Democrats are now celebrating the court decision that found Trump guilty, but those of them who are looking at the situation more critically are a little worried. They have concerns that they miscalculated the consequences of their actions, especially on appeal, and brought their enemy Trump closer to winning the November election.

It’s too early to consider it a disaster for the Democrats, but Trump’s guilty verdict has become a money printing machine for his campaign. In the three days since the verdict was announced, Trump’s campaign has raised a record $200 million in donations, and no one in U.S. history has ever raised such sums in such a short period of time. By the end of June, Trump’s campaign had passed the $500 million mark in donations.

Photo by Tingey Injury Law Firm / Unsplash.com

Both ordinary Americans and big Wall Street businessmen are donating to Trump. The latter are worried about the far-reaching consequences of the verdict, with the undermining of confidence in the U.S. financial system. Demand for bonds will continue to fall amid the crisis in the political system and the emergence of new conflicts in Washington, destroying the concept of “developed democracy” and damaging investments.

The Trump team had originally planned to seek support from the Supreme Court immediately after the verdict was announced on July 11, where most of the justices are Republicans and three of them were appointed by Trump. Therefore, the lawyers wanted to mitigate the consequences of the verdict and, for example, cancel any restrictions on traveling around the country for Trump. Well, while the court wars continue to splinter America, Trump has already promised to retaliate against all of his foes if he wins the election. The stakes for both sides are now rising, because whoever loses will be saying goodbye to their freedom.

In addition, the guilty verdict against Trump has not changed the dynamics of the presidential race much. In the NYTimes poll, Trump continues to edge Biden with 47% to 46%, and his lead has only narrowed slightly since the previous month.

Good news for Trump in Georgia, where another “election interference” criminal case is finally falling apart due to the greed of local prosecutor Fani Willis, who appointed her lover to lead the Trump investigation and capitalize on it with federal grants.

Fani Willis
Photo by Ben Gray / AP / NPR

Trump’s lawyers are now seeking to move the case to the federal level because of the prosecution’s affiliation with the Democratic Party and the Fani Willis situation. There will never be a verdict here before the election. In Georgia, Trump is also beating Biden quite comfortably with 49% to 44%. At the same time, the process against Hunter Biden is causing more and more scandals. During the hearings it was revealed that he took crack every 20 minutes and spent $3.4 million on drugs and prostitutes. Biden has no positive agenda in the state, and Biden Sr. has kept silent about his son, who faces up to 40 years in prison and will have to be pardoned.

As for the rest of Trump’s trials, again, verdicts will not be handed down until January 2025 at the earliest. The first is the case of inciting the January 6, 2021 riot. As part of that case, Trump was accused of leading an “insurrection” and storming the Capitol. But the hearing was postponed indefinitely as defense lawyers succeeded in getting Trump’s presidential immunity recognized. In Florida, where Trump was accused of illegal possession of classified documents, the case was heard under a judge who was appointed by him, and therefore he is highly likely to win the trial. The likelihood of Trump being imprisoned in all of these cases is extremely low, and even if he is found guilty, it will not allow him to be disqualified from running for office, and he will only face real jail time if he is defeated in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

However, the main goal of the courts on the part of the Democratic Party is not to imprison Trump. It is to impede his election campaign, which involves forced expenditure of time and energy on court hearings and possible restriction of his movements. It’s also important for Democrats to build an image of Trump as a “criminal” and a “rebel” among the undecided electorate, especially in 9 key “neutral” states. In the end, even if it does not affect Trump’s actual rating, the Democrats will ensure their result by rigging.

Trump, meanwhile, has openly hinted that he might put Hillary Clinton on trial if he wins the election. Alexander Soros, whose hand-picked prosecutors are at war with Trump, is also at risk of such a trial. Hunter Biden is thinking of fleeing the country if Trump wins.

If Trump’s main difficulty is endless trials, Biden’s health problems are mounting, and his cognitive state is rapidly deteriorating. He can barely understand what his advisers or congressmen are explaining to him, and at one of the last meetings Biden spent 10 minutes trying to say hello to everyone. Biden already routinely forgets his decisions and the names of members of his inner circle. His advisors panic about every public appearance because Biden might just collapse there. About 70% of Americans wanted both candidates to take a drug test before the debate, because Biden would definitely be drugged with stimulants there, otherwise he just wouldn’t be able to dialog with Trump for an hour and a half.

The Trump team wants to hijack the Democrats’ agenda and is encouraging supporters to vote en masse by mail, something Republicans have traditionally had trouble with, leading to Democratic victories in an electoral segment particularly susceptible to fraud and manipulation. Biden, in his current state, is barely campaigning, and more and more insider information about his problems will get into the press, especially from those who would like an emergency replacement of Biden with another candidate, and the main force here is the influence group of former President Barack Obama.

Amid internal controversy, Democratic candidates for Congress and Senate are already refusing to meet with their own president. They fear that Biden’s anti-Biden rating, including among the left-wing Democratic electorate, will hurt their campaigns. And that’s entirely possible with his low public approval, the raging crises in the U.S. and the “judicial wars” between him and Trump. Biden himself went begging for donations from Hollywood elites over the summer just to catch up with Trump. For the sake of this, Biden even skipped the summit in Switzerland on the extremely important Ukrainian issue, which was a certain sacrifice of domestic policy to the detriment of foreign policy. Biden’s rhetoric today is becoming very radical, and he is trying to intimidate Americans that “criminal” Trump will simply destroy the entire U.S. law enforcement system if he wins. In fact, Biden does not say that it is the prosecutorial wars of the Democrats against Trump that are undermining the remnants of Americans’ trust in the judiciary.

Republicans in Congress are thinking of stripping funding from all prosecutors who prosecute cases against Trump if they win the election, which will make it easier for Trump to fend off judicial attacks. The situation with Hunter Biden is even more complicated, and two-thirds of Americans believe Biden doesn’t need to pardon his son.

And it is the fact that Hunter Biden, the president’s no-good son, is at the epicenter of the court wars that is probably the biggest problem for Joe Biden. In the first case, he is accused of illegally buying a gun while under the influence of strong drugs. Moreover, the “secret service” agents guarding him scared the owner of the gun shop, demanding to delete information about the sale of weapons. The second case is related to non-payment of taxes from “gray” money earned in Ukraine, China, Romania and Mexico. Combined, Hunter faces up to 42 years in prison in the two cases, which are far more serious charges than what Trump faces in New York. But even after a conviction, there’s no doubt that Biden Sr. will try to keep Hunter out of jail, and simply pardon his son in 2025. But for the same reason, Hunter worries a lot about the outcome of the election, because Trump could make new cases against the Biden family if he wins.

However, these are already likely events in 2025, and today Joe Biden, oddly enough, can be relatively calm about his presidential candidacy. While his problems, unlike Trump’s, are of a different nature, they are merely background for both candidates. Thus, from an elitist perspective, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are perceived by much of the Democratic establishment as the only compromise figures. Despite the challenges of Biden campaigning in his current physical and mental state, there is a consensus among politicians and medical professionals that in one form or another he will be able to navigate the upcoming election with dignity. The recent flurry of discussion about his health due to his relatively low approval ratings is a deliberate throw-in by both Republicans and the influence group of former President Barack Obama, who is trying to get his wife Michelle Obama nominated as Biden’s replacement, or at least vice president.

But in this he meets the resistance of that part of the Democrats, which fears, in case of Michelle’s election or Biden’s death during the presidential term, the usurpation of power by Barack Obama, who will be the de facto president with a nominal wife.